Thursday, March 25, 2010

So, Healthcare

Alright, I've not seen enough of the bill to really grasp everything its doing, but, it looks rather moderate. Here's a summary from CBS, its way too basic for a 1k+ page document but I think thats all we are going to see for a little while. The details will come out as parts of the plans are implemented. However, I think I'd rather talk about the political implications of the bill than the bill itself.

First and foremost, and I cannot overstate the importance of this point, Congress has now created a precedent. The United States Government is now responsible for providing health care to its citizens. Regardless of the degree of coverage, commitment, cost etc., Congress has made general health care the Government's business from here on out. The only wild card is a potential unconstitutional ruling by SCOTUS but I hear that's a long shot.

Second, and what I really want to talk about, is the Republicans. (As usual. They're kind of a Miltonic Satan figure in my mind - so damned interesting and quite enticing.) Although they are loathe to admit it, the GOP operated under an obstructionist mentality. Their goal was to prevent the passage of the bill. while they certainly made it hard for the Democrats, ultimately they failed. So what now? Many Republicans are already moving toward a policy of Repeal. They want to overturn the bill should they win majorities in Congress. But what are their chances of winning? Ask Republican sources and they say strong - Americans hate the bill, it was passed undemocratically, they will vote enough Dems out to regain control in a second Conservative revolution. Two points: 1. was the public really that mad about the bill? 2. could anger about the bill be maintained until November? I think the answer to both questions is 'no'. In fact, I'd go so far as to say that a platform based around repealing legislation is going to alienate the party further from the middle. (Perhaps that's the goal. I am not entirely unconvinced that most republicans just want to cement their own political office and never leave DC. The way to do that is to capture all the most right-wing seats and play on their constituents fears and paranoia. Moderates be damned.[They won't vote GOP anyway{double parentheses? really?}]) The other reason the GOP is not likely to sweep this November is a wonderfully powerful new argument the Democrats get to make now: Republicans want to kill you, your family, and your friends. That's right, any opposition to a Democrat means taking away health care, which is a substantially different position than opposition to giving health care. And, its only going to get harder to oppose as the new services start going into effect. Taking away something people expect to have will piss them off. Good luck running against health care post 2014.

So, what a smart Republican party would do is drop this whole mess right now. Find ways to support health care in a critical way. Argue for improvements and market oriented reforms. Either way, the populace will not be keen on a Repeal or obstructionist platform much longer. Its time to adapt to a changed situation or die out as the older, more partisan electorate that put you in office dies out. Survival means cooperation right now. Win local races on local issues, rebuild your base by being good at what the Democrats are bad at - efficiency, supporting business, free trade, national security. And for the love of Pete, move a little left on issues you previously championed (some call this bill Romneycare afterall). If there's one thing the Democrats know how to do its f-up. Hell, this bill took long enough as it was and they had a supermajority. They do not step in line, they do not support party measures. That's a strength but also a weakness. They'll screw something up, but you have to be there in a form capable of stepping into the gap they leave. If the GOP is so far right and so far gone that even a scandal will not convince voters to vote for you, well its your own damned fault.
 

Saturday, March 20, 2010

More on China's approach to things

A good post countering the opinion that China presents some kind of intrinsic challenge to the US. It also hold to my view that China is merely acting to improve its global economic standing - not to create some evil empire.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

The so called "Hardest Logic Puzzle of all Time"

Two guardians watch over a fork in the road. One path leads to safety, the other to a grisly death. One of the guardian is a knight, meaning that he always tells the truth. The other is a knave, meaning that he always lies, answering “yes” to questions whose correct answer is “no”, and vice versa. You do not know which guardian is a knight and which is a knave. With a single question, how will you find the safe path?

Friday, March 12, 2010

Texas messes with textbooks

So the Texas BOE has adopted a new series of social studies standards that give a really "Glenn Beck" version of history and society. Here's a few awesome quotes from an AP article:

"As part of the new curriculum, the elected board — made up of lawyers, a dentist and a weekly newspaper publisher among others — rejected an attempt to ensure that children learn why the U.S. was founded on the principle of religious freedom.

But, it agreed to strengthen nods to Christianity by adding references to "laws of nature and nature's God" to a section in U.S. history that requires students to explain major political ideas.

They also agreed to strike the word "democratic" in references to the form of U.S. government, opting instead to call it a "constitutional republic."

In addition to learning the Bill of Rights, the board specified a reference to the Second Amendment right to bear arms in a section about citizenship in a U.S. government class and agreed to require economics students to "analyze the decline of the U.S. dollar including abandonment of the gold standard."


However the really scary part is this: "Decisions by the board — long led by the social conservatives who have advocated ideas such as teaching more about the weaknesses of evolutionary theory — affects textbook content nationwide because Texas is one of publishers' biggest clients."

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Marc Thiessen on with John Stewart

For about the first 6-7 minutes I think this is one of the better interview/guest segments TDS has had in a little while. After that, he moves into argument mode and it becomes kinda one sided. I feel like Stewart does his best when he sticks to questions and well planned lines of thought - when he lets his guests have enough rope to hang themselves with. Part 1.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Elizabeth Warren on Charlie Rose

Elizabeth Warren on Charlie Rose. For me the money quote comes when she is talking about the Financial Regulation Reform Bill in Congress right now:

http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/10895#frame_top

"CHARLIE ROSE: And so do you think Senator Dodd and Senator Corker are
serving the interest of the bank lobby?

ELIZABETH WARREN: We’ll know when this bill comes out of Congress.

CHARLIE ROSE: The financial reform bill.

ELIZABETH WARREN: That’s right.

CHARLIE ROSE: Let me just stay with it for a second in a sense that
if you look at it as a part of the overall financial regulation reform,
where do you put its significance?

ELIZABETH WARREN: The tip of the spear.

CHARLIE ROSE: Tip of the spear?

ELIZABETH WARREN: Yes. And it’s the tip of the spear in two senses
of that word. It’s the tip of the spear in the sense this is where our
financial crises started, one lousy mortgage at a time, one family who got
fooled, tricked, cheated at a time.

Then those risks were aggregated, sliced and diced, put into all kinds
of fancy financial instruments, ultimately traded, made billions for the
Wall Street banks. And then brought the whole system -- so tip of the
spear in terms of where it’s starting.

But also tip of the spear in whether or not our political system
works. You know, if you can’t make this work for American families, then
what hope is there for the pieces that are complicated and in which people
with lots of money and lots of power are in --

CHARLIE ROSE: So you’re saying unless this is an independent agency
outside which they bring all the powers that are existing everywhere
together and give it jurisdiction, give it power, give it budget, give it -
- that everything else is at risk."

Thursday, March 4, 2010

The Romney Doctrine and the end of influence

I believe that I mentioned a book about what happens when Los Estados Unidos no longer has hegemony. well, here's one of the authors in an interview titled "What happens when other countries have the money". It's worth the watch.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7hB6LEyW68

For comparison, I have an article about 2012 GOP presidential front runner Mitt Romney's foreign policy views as espoused in his new "Lookit! I'ma run for president" book.

http://washingtonindependent.com/78105/romneys-no-apology-outlines-foreign-policy-for-fantasy-world


Blog notes. I'm just going to post interesting things - I've been told that less commentary seeking behavior on my part will entice y'all to post.